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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 21, 2026

Independently reported.

Culture

As the World Got Online, It Got Less Religious. A Study of 81 Countries Says That Is Not a Coincidence.

A University of Maribor analysis spanning three decades and six World Values Survey waves found lagged internet access is the strongest predictor of religious decline worldwide, ahead of education, income or globalization. The lead researcher says the pattern might not hold going forward.

By Sana Whitfield, Culture, Science & Life

· 3 min read · Updated

A dim, empty wood-paneled chapel interior with warm late-afternoon light through a stained glass window and an old wooden pew in the foreground, no people, no text anywhere.

Key Takeaways

  • Sociologists Miran Lavric and Tibor Rutar analyzed 81 nations from 1990 to 2022 and found lagged web access negatively predicts religiosity within a country over time, with standardized effects between -0.14 and -0.24.
  • Institutional belonging and self-described faith fell hardest, with coefficients between -0.299 and -0.376, while showing up for services and trusting churches barely moved and were sometimes statistically flat.
  • Lavric, a University of Maribor professor, cautions the paper cannot prove causation and doubts the secularizing pull from connectivity will keep going forever.
  • A 2021 University of Michigan paper on 42 nations from 2007 to 2020 found a matching pattern, and earlier U.S. estimates blamed the web for roughly 20 percent of America's religious drop-off between 1980 and 2010.
  • Lavric's fieldwork back home in Slovenia turned up a reversal: influencer culture online is stoking fresh religious interest among young men, something the country-level averages cannot see.

In 1990, fewer than three percent of people on Earth had ever gone online. By 2022, most of the planet carried a browser in a pocket, a shift that took barely one generation. Across that same window, a wide slice of humanity also quit calling itself religious.

The overlap is hard to miss. A freshly published paper says the connection between those two curves runs closer than coincidence.

The work comes from Miran Lavric and Tibor Rutar, sociologists at the University of Maribor in Slovenia. They tracked 81 nations across six waves of the World Values Survey, spanning 1990 to 2022, and built a religiosity index out of six recurring survey questions.

  • How often someone attends religious services
  • How important they say God is to them personally
  • How important they say religion is to them generally
  • Whether they identify with a specific religious denomination
  • Whether they call themselves a religious person
  • How much confidence they place in churches

That index held together statistically, with a reliability score, Cronbach's alpha, of 0.90 across 266 to 285 country-period observations. Lagged web access outpredicted every other modernization variable the pair tested, including schooling, wealth, city growth and trade openness.

-0.14 to -0.24

standardized effect of lagged internet penetration on overall religiosity

Across country fixed-effects models, this was the strongest predictor tested, ahead of education, income, urbanization and globalization (266 to 285 country-period observations).

The short answer

A University of Maribor study of 81 countries from 1990 to 2022 found that as internet access grew, religiosity fell, and the effect was stronger than education, income, urbanization or globalization. The decline was sharpest in denominational belonging and religious self-identification, weaker in service attendance and confidence in churches, and the authors say it does not prove the internet caused the drop.

The decline was not even across categories

Denominational belonging and religious self-identification fell the most, with standardized coefficients between -0.299 and -0.376. Attendance at services and confidence in churches moved less, and in some models the difference was not statistically significant. People let go of the label faster than they let go of the habit.

Years ago I heard Daniel Dennett say that the internet was the best thing to happen to atheism since Darwin.

Miran Lavric, sociology professor, University of Maribor, lead author of the study

Lavric says the actual research testing that idea stayed thin for a long time. "More recently, I was surprised to find that research on whether the internet actually has secularizing effects has remained relatively sparse and methodologically limited," he told PsyPost. That gap sent him and Rutar hunting for a systematic answer across dozens of nations and three decades of survey data.

Not proof, and not the whole story

The pair are careful about what their numbers do and do not show. Faith can also predict later internet adoption, so the paper cannot rule out reverse causation. Survey coverage was uneven across countries and decades. The composite index cannot tell a person reading scripture on a phone apart from someone scrolling something else entirely.

Lavric also points to a countertrend his own fieldwork has picked up back home in Slovenia. Online influencer culture there is fueling renewed religious interest among young men, running the opposite direction from his global data. "There is no reason to assume that the secularizing pattern associated with internet diffusion will persist in the future," he said.

This pattern is not new, and it is not small

This is not the first paper to draw a line between modems and pews. A 2021 University of Michigan analysis of 42 nations found the same secularizing pull between 2007 and 2020, right as global connectivity surged. Earlier American research had already pinned going online as responsible for something like 20 percent of the decline in U.S. religious affiliation between the 1980s and 2010.

What was measured keeps evolving

The web Lavric and Rutar measured was mostly forums, search engines and early social platforms, not the algorithmic feeds and AI chat companions of 2026. Whether today's version of being online pushes people further from organized worship, or toward newer, looser forms of belonging, is still unclear. This dataset was never built to answer that question.

Frequently Asked Questions

Did the study prove the internet causes people to leave religion?
No. The authors describe a strong, consistent link across 81 countries, but faith can also shape later technology adoption, so the paper stops short of ruling out reverse causation or other shared underlying causes.
Which parts of religious life declined the most?
Belonging to a denomination and calling yourself a religious person dropped the most, with standardized effects between -0.299 and -0.376. Showing up to services and trusting churches shifted less and were sometimes not statistically meaningful.
Where was the study published?
In Sociology of Religion, an Oxford University Press journal, as an advance online article dated September 2, 2026, written by Miran Lavric and Tibor Rutar of the University of Maribor.
  • religion
  • internet use
  • secularization
  • World Values Survey
  • University of Maribor
  • Miran Lavric

About the reporter

Sana Whitfield

Culture, Science & Life Reporter, Trestlewire

I started out writing about science — real lab-coat, peer-reviewed, methods-section science — and I moved into culture coverage because I kept noticing that the internet, not the lab, is often where science actually plays out in people's daily lives now. A study on sleep or attention or habit formation used to sit in a journal for a decade before anyone outside the field read it. Now it shows up in a group chat by Thursday, usually stripped of every caveat that made it interesting in the first place.

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